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Big Data, Armed Conflicts and World Peace

The availability of high-quality datasets became a research prerequisite for almost all scientific fields even the political sciences.

Datasets for diplomatic interventions and efforts in civil war conflicts have enriched the civil war literature.

In this blog post, I will introduce a sample of the most famous datasets in the field of civil war literature, armed conflicts, organized violence, and peace agreements.

UCDP Database

It is free of charge database that could provide information seekers with detailed data about armed conflicts, peace agreements and other sorts of organized violence since 1946 and onwards. The database is updated and maintained by Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) and is available at: http://ucdp.uu.se/, Uppsala University.

You can get the needed data through navigating through two different views. You can access the two views (“Fatalities View” and “Countries in a Conflict View”) by selecting one of the two tabs found on the upper right corner of the main page.

The following is a screenshot from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) website – Fatalities View -accessed 16 August 2016.

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[Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program (Date of retrieval: 16/08/16) UCDP Conflict Encyclopedia: www.ucdp.uu.se, Uppsala University]

Here is another screenshot from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) website – Countries in Conflict View – accessed 16 August 2016. I chose Syria just to give the reader an idea about the data visualization methodology. The results could be filtered according to the type of conflict or the actor. There are different options for filtering the query results.

[Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program (Date of retrieval: 16/08/16) UCDP Conflict Encyclopedia: www.ucdp.uu.se, Uppsala University]

PRIO

The Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO) focuses on peaceful relations between states, groups, and people as a research area.

On the PRIO website, you can find different datasets. Some of them are related to:

Conflict Site

It just provides the location (coordinates of the armed conflicts), so we can consider it as an extension to the UCDP/PRIO database.

The dataset is available at:

https://www.prio.org/Data/Armed-Conflict/Conflict-Site/

Data on religious cleavages and civil war

This dataset is concerned with finding a relation between religious cleavages and the duration and intensity of internal conflicts. The dataset is available at:

https://www.prio.org/Data/Armed-Conflict/Data-on-religious-cleavages-and-civil-war/

Battle Deaths Data

It contains data for battle death during wars or violence conflicts.

The dataset is available at:

https://www.prio.org/Data/Armed-Conflict/Battle-Deaths/The-Battle-Deaths-Dataset-version-30/

Onset and Duration of Intrastate Conflict

You can obtain the data about this topic in 3 forms:

A country-year file, a calendar-time file (suitable for onset analysis), or a calendar-time file (prepared for duration analysis).

The three datasets are available at:

https://www.prio.org/Data/Armed-Conflict/Onset-and-Duration-of-Intrastate-Conflict/Onset-Data/

UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset

It contains information on armed conflict where the government represents one side of the conflict. The dataset covers the time period 1946-2014. The most recent is version 4-2015.

The dataset is available at: http://www.pcr.uu.se/research/ucdp/datasets/ucdp_prio_armed_conflict_dataset/

Arbeitsgemeinschaft Kriegsursachenforschung (AKUF)

It contains information on armed conflicts where the government represents one side of the conflict. The dataset covers the time period 1946-2014. The most recent is version 4-2015.

The dataset is available at: http://www.pcr.uu.se/research/ucdp/datasets/ucdp_prio_armed_conflict_dataset/

COSIMO

COSIMO database is concerned on recording information on political conflicts since 1945 till now. The project is hosted by Heidelberg Institute for International Conflict Research (HIIK). You can explore the related datasets at: http://hiik.de/en/verein/

What software will I need to deal with armed conflicts literature datasets?

It depends on the extension or the type of the file you will download and work with. I can summarize the most common types in the following table:

Extension Software
*.xls, *.xlsx MS Excel
Comma-delimited (*.csv) MS Excel, CSV Buddy, CSVed
*.dta Stata
*.sav, Tab-delimited (*.dat), SPSS

Definition matters

If you are doing a database concatenation from different sources or doing a research work related to a specific topic related to armed conflicts literature, it is important to get sure first that the definition/concepts in both data sources coincide. Take care that terms like “Dispute, Conflict, Settlement, Hostilities, Post-Hostilities Conflict, Post-Hostilities Dispute” might have different definitions and accordingly different significance.

Terminologies and acronyms wherever you go

Before digging deeper into your work in armed conflicts datasets, it is important to know some important terminologies and acronyms. Of course, it is impossible to list all the related terminologies and acronyms here, but still, we can list some of the most common terms:

  • Minorities at Risk = MAR
  • Civil War Termination = CWT
  • Correlates of War = COW
  • Militarized Interstate Disputes = MID
  • Ethnic Conflicts Research Projects = ECRP
  • Violent, Intrastate Nationalist Conflicts = VINC
  • State of War and Peace Atlas = SoWAP
  • Conflict and Peace Databank = COPDAB
  • Computer Aided System for Analysis of Conflicts = CASCON
  • Kansas Events Data System = KEDS
  • Programmed International Computer Environment = PRINCE
  • Terrorism in Western-Europe Event Data = TWEED

Recommended readings

There is a very nice Book for Mayeul Kauffmann, called “Building and Using Datasets on Armed Conflicts”. The book focuses on the purposes for building conflicts and civil war datasets, concepts and data building for terrorism and abduction databases, in addition to many other interesting and important topics.

A preview for the book is available at Google Books at:

https://books.google.com.eg/books?isbn=1586038478

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