How severe was the COVID-19 outbreak in China, really? Will Hong Kong protesters face a violent crackdown by Chinese military? What will be China’s next big moves in the post-COVID era? The Policy Chang Index (PCI), an open-source machine learning project, tackles policy questions like these by analyzing authoritarian regimes’ propaganda.
Applying recent advances in NLP, the project has developed several algorithms to monitor the People’s Daily — China’s flagship official newspaper — and make inferences about the Chinese government’s policy intentions. Similar PCI algorithms can also be developed for other authoritarian regimes with media control.