Population Growth Assumptions

$179 / year

This dataset shows the long-run projections for the US agricultural sector to 2029 includes assumptions for the US and international macroeconomic conditions and projections for major commodities, farm income, and U.S. agricultural trade value. Values are from the publication USDA Agricultural Projections to 2029, October 2019.

Complexity

USDA’s long-term agricultural projections presented in this report are a departmental consensus on a longrun scenario for the agricultural sector. These projections provide a starting point for discussion of alternative outcomes for the sector.
The projections in this report were prepared during October through December 2019, with the Agricultural Act of 2014 assumed to remain in effect through the projection period. The scenario presented in this report is not a USDA forecast about the future. Instead, it is a conditional, longrun scenario about what would be expected to happen under a continuation of current farm legislation and other specific assumptions.

Critical long-term assumptions are made for the US and international macroeconomic conditions, US and foreign agricultural and trade policies, and growth rates of agricultural productivity in the United States and abroad. The report assumes that there are no domestic or external shocks that would affect global agricultural supply and demand. Normal weather is assumed. Changes in any of these assumptions can significantly affect the projections, and actual conditions that emerge will alter the outcomes.
The report uses as a starting point the short-term projections from the November 2015 World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report. The macroeconomic assumptions were completed in October 2019.

The projections analysis was conducted by interagency committees in USDA and reflect a composite of model results and judgment-based analyses. The Economic Research Service had the lead role in preparing the departmental report. The projections and the report were reviewed and cleared by the Interagency Agricultural Projections Committee, chaired by the World Agricultural Outlook Board. USDA participants in the projections analysis and review include the World Agricultural Outlook Board; the Economic Research Service; the Farm Service Agency; the Foreign Agricultural Service; the Agricultural Marketing Service; the Office of the Chief Economist; the Office of Budget and Program Analysis; the Risk Management Agency; the Natural Resources Conservation Service; and the National Institute of Food and Agriculture.

Date Created

2016-02-01

Last Modified

2019-10-01

Version

2019-10-01

Update Frequency

Annual

Temporal Coverage

2018-2029

Spatial Coverage

United States

Source

John Snow Labs; United States Department of Agriculture (USDA);

Source License URL

Source License Requirements

N/A

Source Citation

United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), Release 2016.

Keywords

US Agricultural Projections, Projections for Major Commodities, USDA Agricultural Projections, US Macroeconomic Conditions, US Agricultural Supply and Demand Report

Other Titles

USDA Population Growth 2019, USDA Historical Poopulation Growth 2019

NameDescriptionTypeConstraints
Region_Or_CountryCountry, state or a regionstring-
Population_In_2019Popultaion of a certain region, state or a regionnumberlevel : Ratio
Year_2018Change in percentage of population in year 2018numberlevel : Ratio required : 1
Year_2019Change in percentage of population in year 2018numberlevel : Ratio required : 1
Year_2020Change in percentage of population in year 2020numberlevel : Ratio required : 1
Year_2021Change in percentage of population in year 2021numberlevel : Ratio required : 1
Year_2022Change in percentage of population in year 2022numberlevel : Ratio required : 1
Year_2023Change in percentage of population in year 2023numberlevel : Ratio required : 1
Year_2000_To_2009Average percentage change in poulation in year 2000 to 2009numberlevel : Ratio required : 1
Year_2010_To_2019Average percentage change in poulation in year 2010 to 2019numberlevel : Ratio required : 1
Year_2020_To_2029Average percentage change in poulation in year 2020 to 2029numberlevel : Ratio required : 1
Region Or CountryPopulation In 2019Year 2018Year 2019Year 2020Year 2021Year 2022Year 2023Year 2000 To 2009Year 2010 To 2019Year 2020 To 2029
World7505.9549849999991.0612494951.0382808451.0116364960.98373663400000010.9593839650.9375987651.2126786711.120978630.9065637590000001
North America366.4053760.7307465080.72344905099999990.71532326900000010.7059853670.6954913740.68346971299999990.9447668080.72924392799999990.661688155
Canada36.1363760.7241784330.70988076900000010.69454389799999990.676806450.6569536920.6363646980.83337585299999990.7642758670.603285807
United States330.2690.731465280.7249338030.71759688900000010.7091771960.699705660.688618660.95699040900000010.7254207190.6680600879999999
Latin America641.83953600000010.922401130.8994772430.875714660.85226517900000010.82899844599999990.80492508400000011.27579559099999981.0185963990.7655933559999999
Mexico127.318112000000011.1113082171.0788469311.0457687381.011987090.97770029299999990.9430429341.3344083311.25175111299999990.888991278
Cuba11.086996000000001-0.278190255-0.264474213-0.251952827-0.241855949-0.232235938-0.2209473550.136706868-0.155056225-0.229059403
Oth. Carib & Central Am.77.6485541.0573898551.0418276791.024423481.0078819990.9918176530.9732882381.4681993961.1708521070.936489707
South America425.785874000000040.873624980.85069960400000010.8271091580.8041518930.7815886140.758368791.2601458550.9550666030.7217828390000001
Argentina45.0894920.90511447200000010.8844414350.86411708599999990.8432463410.8215143680.8005577331.0389458660.96913177400000010.7747367140000001
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