Adult Mortality Estimates by Country

$79 / year

This dataset provides global estimates of adult mortality risk, 45q15 (probability of death between the ages of 15 years and 60 years), between 1970 and 2010.

Complexity

The data on this dataset was from the paper, Worldwide mortality in men and women aged 15–59 years from 1970 to 2010: a systematic analysis, published online in The Lancet on April 30, 2010.

This study aimed to estimate worldwide mortality in men and women aged 15–59 years given that adult mortality is a crucial priority for global health but has received little policy attention, resources, or monitoring efforts.

A database of 3889 measurements of adult mortality for 187 countries from 1970 to 2010 using vital registration data and census and survey data for deaths in the household corrected for completeness, and sibling history data from surveys corrected for survival bias was compiled and analyzed using Gaussian process regression to generate yearly estimates of the probability of death between the ages of 15 years and 60 years (45q15) for men and women for every country with uncertainty intervals that indicate sampling and non-sampling error. These analytical methods have good predictive validity for countries with missing data.

This study showed that adult mortality varied substantially across countries and over time. Between 1970 and 2010, substantial increases in adult mortality occurred in sub-Saharan Africa because of the HIV epidemic and in countries in or related to the former Soviet Union. Notably, there was stagnation in the decline of adult mortality for large countries in southeast Asia and a striking decline in female mortality in South Asia.

In conclusion, this study recommended that prevention of premature adult death is just as important for global health policy as the improvement of child survival. Routine monitoring of adult mortality should be given much greater emphasis.

Date Created

2016-12-31

Last Modified

2017-09-06

Version

2017-09-06

Update Frequency

Never

Temporal Coverage

1970-01 to 2010-12

Spatial Coverage

World

Source

John Snow Labs => Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), Global Health Data Exchange

Source License URL

John Snow Labs Standard License

Source License Requirements

N/A

Source Citation

Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. Adult Mortality Estimates by Country 1970-2010. Seattle, United States Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, 2010.

Keywords

Mortality Estimate, Adult Mortality Rate, Male Mortality Rate, Female Mortality Rate, Male Mortality Risk, Female Mortality Risk, Adult Death, Adult Mortality Risk, Mortality Rate by Country, Mortality Risk by Sex

Other Titles

Global Mortality Estimates by Country 1970-2010, Adult Mortality Estimates by Country 1970-2010

NameDescriptionTypeConstraints
CountryList of 187 countries worldwide where measurements of adult mortality were recorded from 1970 to 2010 using vital registration data and census and survey data for deaths in the householdstring-
YearPeriod in years where measurements of adult mortality were recorded covering years from 1970 to 2010date-
Probability_of_Death_FemaleProbability of death between the ages of 15 years and 60 years among female adultsnumberlevel : Ratio
Female_RankingRanking of probability of death or mortality risk among femalesintegerlevel : Ratio
Probability_of_Death_MaleProbability of death between the ages of 15 years and 60 years among male adultsnumberlevel : Ratio
Male_RankingRanking of probability of death or mortality risk among malesintegerlevel : Ratio
CountryYearProbability_of_Death_FemaleFemale_RankingProbability_of_Death_MaleMale_Ranking
Italy200348.14949
Italy200445286.46
Italy200644285.39
Italy200942280.28
Malta199556595.52
Malta199852489.82
Malta200250683.72
Malta200449.28812
Malta200648978.53
Peru2002946114643